Traffic News
IATA long-term outlook: Passenger traffic set to double by 2050 amid strong air travel resurgence
The global airline trade body’s long-term demand model points to 20.8 trillion RPKs by 2050 under a mid-range scenario, with alternative scenarios outlining the range of outcomes.
Travel businesses anticipate demand will move towards travel within Southeast Asia (64%) amid the escalating conflict, while Europe (24%) remains a preferred destination despite flight disruptions.
The global airline trade body’s long-term demand model points to 20.8 trillion RPKs by 2050 under a mid-range scenario, with alternative scenarios outlining the range of outcomes.
By commercial channel, food & beverage delivered the highest growth in 2025 with a +3.4% increase, with retail spend flat year-on-year.
Europe’s airports started the year strongly, with passenger traffic up +4.6% year-on-year, though ongoing Middle East conflicts could disrupt momentum and weigh on positive traffic forecasts.
The Duty Free World Council’s Full Year 2025 Global Shopping Monitor identifies the latest shopper spending habits and drivers.
The airline trade body forecasts that strong demand growth will continue into 2026, though escalating conflict in the Middle East presents a significant risk to this outlook.
Retail & Properties revenue climbed by +5.9% year-on-year, buoyed by higher shopping, hospitality, lounge and parking income related to passenger growth.
Over the Spring Festival, cdf Sanya International Duty Free Shopping Complex achieved strong results with five-day sales up +23.7%, nine-day visitor numbers of 678,900, and single-day sales exceeding CNY200 million, reflecting its first peak season after Hainan’s customs closure.
Of retail performance, the company commented: “Higher passenger numbers boosted performance in food & beverage, premium services and car parking [and were] offset by weakness in advertising and bureaux de change in line with global trends.”
Retail revenue at New Zealand’s main gateway fell -2% year-on-year in H1 FY26, with income per passenger down -4%, while passenger spend rate rose +2% (+5% excluding FX).
Duty-free revenue climbed +17% year-on-year to €93 million while F&B leapt +22% to €224.1 million, buoyed by the opening of BTA operations in Antalya.
We feature highlights from the ACI World Airport Economics Report, revealed to delegates at The Trinity Forum last week, with a focus on non-aeronautical revenues.












